Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 67204.877141 71092.621287 74986.260807 79175.457639 83552.257116 87987.153439 92817.669235
2025-04-20 61182.406967 67142.034692 73284.498018 80079.233784 87375.546437 94965.721319 103449.127778
2025-04-27 57049.009064 64451.160175 72254.510029 81074.727033 90747.599426 101013.099990 112711.435232
2025-05-04 53585.313974 62043.126915 71130.185500 81587.681679 93257.242141 105845.905193 120419.352035
2025-05-11 50469.050055 59721.900857 69831.149341 81649.630243 95038.730602 109687.546393 126876.328455
2025-05-18 47932.373776 57848.253529 68846.602724 81886.794328 96859.519317 113446.064310 133140.205837
2025-05-25 45653.386099 56113.336047 67878.019951 82008.246426 98432.369276 116833.256550 138916.149558
2025-06-01 44179.487011 55210.952130 67776.154224 83044.562342 100987.291920 121292.729647 145893.047496
2025-06-08 42211.412222 53618.761134 66773.760199 82941.029634 102142.864794 124084.822760 150910.355569
2025-06-15 41153.723534 53050.960394 66924.510667 84148.845987 104800.715816 128603.465004 157938.496847
2025-06-22 39924.735943 52211.218263 66694.607346 84853.572765 106825.467796 132359.410173 164070.341130
2025-06-29 38450.631123 51005.205603 65963.978016 84901.272363 108020.659601 135105.418122 168994.330868
2025-07-06 36976.953317 49758.601220 65152.419425 84829.589459 109066.642843 137688.119878 173764.483883
2025-07-13 36188.594176 49339.117109 65332.824983 85956.506778 111563.912201 142021.225564 180665.736835
2025-07-20 35439.278088 48934.436468 65503.239098 87049.339808 114008.652155 146294.463527 187517.408562
2025-07-27 34486.815835 48229.869289 65263.612496 87601.351787 115765.674272 149724.331227 193353.264442
2025-08-03 33371.039765 47271.955262 64666.025704 87668.907783 116893.610779 152369.137231 198227.949575
2025-08-10 32400.833943 46469.538916 64235.552356 87920.567097 118231.715194 155263.058495 203413.361085
2025-08-17 31430.525605 45632.953097 63730.496836 88049.314799 119393.984020 157928.519934 208318.678574
2025-08-24 30921.686066 45393.682623 63985.525463 89146.996645 121785.269942 162135.134080 215166.671760
2025-08-31 29940.097899 44483.267668 63331.895908 89037.346916 122610.532952 164365.598993 219541.400651
2025-09-07 29567.467175 44388.637824 63744.409320 90316.490691 125226.344505 168867.078113 226801.446667
2025-09-14 29002.587284 44009.492284 63761.895622 91062.742720 127146.320047 172490.732029 232970.021884